Match analytics

Katie Boulter vs Viktoriya Tomova · Match odds & ELO prediction

Wuhan • Hard • Oct 4, 2025 • 8:00 AM

Hard

Final score

1 - 2

Winner Viktoriya Tomova

Key insights

Player performance profile

Katie Boulter

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

40%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~5,736 points across 39 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-1.226% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-1.335% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-1.829% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
40%28% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Viktoriya Tomova

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

51%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~6,020 points across 42 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.83% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
0.879% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-4.020% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
42%30% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Katie Boulter and Viktoriya Tomova are set to meet at the Wuhan on October 4, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Boulter enters with a 9–14 record on hard courts in 2025, while Tomova has posted a 11–13 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Boulter leads 2–1 over Tomova.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Boulter and Tomova alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.