Katie Boulter vs Hailey Baptiste · Match odds & ELO prediction
Beijing • Hard • Sep 24, 2025 • 8:00 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Katie Boulter
Key insights
Player performance profile
Katie Boulter
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
40%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,736 points across 39 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,736 points across 39 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 26% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 35% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.8 | 29% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 40% | 28% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Hailey Baptiste
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,293 points across 52 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,293 points across 52 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.4 | 81% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.3 | 36% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 53% | 53% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Katie Boulter and Hailey Baptiste are set to meet at the Beijing on September 24, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Boulter enters with a 9–14 record on hard courts in 2025, while Baptiste has posted a 12–16 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Boulter leads 4–0 over Baptiste, including a win in their most recent meeting.