Katie Boulter vs Eva Lys · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 6, 2026 • 3:10 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Eva Lys
Key insights
Player performance profile
Katie Boulter
69% · 11–5 on hard
50% · 3–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,542 points across 52 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,542 points across 52 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 40% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 35% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.4 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 38% | 23% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Eva Lys
25% · 1–3 on hard
25% · 1–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
41%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,281 points across 59 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,281 points across 59 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.4 | 90% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.8 | 76% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 64% | 78% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Katie Boulter and Eva Lys are set to meet at the Rome on May 6, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Boulter enters with a 3–3 record on clay courts in 2026, while Lys has posted a 1–3 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Boulter entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Lys leads 2–0 over Boulter, including a win in their most recent meeting.