Katherine Sebov vs Mary Stoiana · Match odds & ELO prediction
Midland • Hard • Feb 20, 2026 • 7:30 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Mary Stoiana
Key insights
Player performance profile
Katherine Sebov
55% · 12–10 on hard
50% · 1–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~414 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~414 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.7 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 79% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.2 | 46% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Mary Stoiana
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~894 points across 6 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~894 points across 6 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 26% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 44% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.8 | 70% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Katherine Sebov and Mary Stoiana are set to meet at the Midland on February 20, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Sebov enters with a 12–10 record on hard courts in 2026, while Stoiana has posted a 1–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Stoiana, but the gap is not overwhelming. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.