BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Katerina Siniakova vs Elina Svitolina · Match odds & ELO prediction

WTA Indian Wells • Hard • Mar 11, 2026 • 6:00 PM

Hard

Key insights

Player performance profile

Katerina Siniakova

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

52%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~7,186 points across 52 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.960% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
1.183% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+4.582% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Elite
77%91% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Elina Svitolina

HARD

100% · 50 on hard

Games won (last 10)

51%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~8,843 points across 63 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.885% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
1.589% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+1.563% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
53%56% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Katerina Siniakova and Elina Svitolina are set to meet at the WTA Indian Wells on March 11, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Siniakova enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Svitolina has posted a 5–0 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Svitolina, but the gap is not overwhelming. This will be the first meeting between Siniakova and Svitolina at the professional level.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Siniakova and Svitolina have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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