Katerina Siniakova vs Caty McNally · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 26, 2026 • 9:00 AM
Key insights
Player performance profile
Katerina Siniakova
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,584 points across 54 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,584 points across 54 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.8 | 61% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.1 | 84% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.3 | 82% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 77% | 93% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Caty McNally
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,059 points across 36 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,059 points across 36 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 43% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 55% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.2 | 50% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 16% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Katerina Siniakova and Caty McNally are set to meet at the Madrid on April 26, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Siniakova enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while McNally has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Siniakova entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Siniakova leads 1–0 over McNally, including a win in their most recent meeting.