Katarzyna Kawa vs Mayar Sherif · Match odds & ELO prediction
Bastad • Clay • Jul 11, 2025 • 9:10 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Katarzyna Kawa
Key insights
Player performance profile
Katarzyna Kawa
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,250 points across 35 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,250 points across 35 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.6 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 72% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.3 | 35% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 42% | 29% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Mayar Sherif
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,955 points across 14 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,955 points across 14 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.3 | 2% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -6.2 | 0% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.9 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 17% | 6% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Katarzyna Kawa and Mayar Sherif are set to meet at the Bastad on July 11, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Kawa enters with a 20–11 record on clay courts in 2025, while Sherif has posted a 35–16 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Sherif entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Kawa leads 2–1 over Sherif, including a win in their most recent meeting.