Karolina Pliskova vs Sloane Stephens · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Australian Open • Hard • Jan 20, 2026 • 2:05 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Karolina Pliskova
Key insights
Player performance profile
Karolina Pliskova
Games won (last 10)
51%
5 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 44% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 61% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | 0.0 | 48% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Sloane Stephens
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,366 points across 9 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,366 points across 9 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.6 | 82% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 52% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Karolina Pliskova and Sloane Stephens are set to meet at the WTA Australian Open on January 20, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Pliskova enters with a 0–0 record on hard courts in 2026, while Stephens has posted a 0–1 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Stephens leads 2–1 over Pliskova.