Karolina Pliskova vs Sloane Stephens · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Australian Open • Hard • Jan 20, 2026 • 2:05 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Karolina Pliskova
Key insights
Player performance profile
Karolina Pliskova
57% · 4–3 on hard
75% · 6–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,338 points across 9 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,338 points across 9 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.0 | 78% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.1 | 39% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +11.3 | 100% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 86% | 99% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Sloane Stephens
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,005 points across 21 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,005 points across 21 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 37% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.2 | 58% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 45% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Karolina Pliskova and Sloane Stephens are set to meet at the WTA Australian Open on January 20, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Pliskova enters with a 4–3 record on hard courts in 2026, while Stephens has posted a 0–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Pliskova entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Stephens leads 2–1 over Pliskova.