Karolina Pliskova vs Maria Sakkari · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 24, 2026 • 9:10 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Karolina Pliskova
Key insights
Player performance profile
Karolina Pliskova
57% · 4–3 on hard
75% · 6–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,338 points across 9 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,338 points across 9 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.0 | 78% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.1 | 39% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +11.3 | 100% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 86% | 99% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Maria Sakkari
57% · 8–6 on hard
0% · 0–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,056 points across 65 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,056 points across 65 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 44% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 25% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.6 | 52% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 62% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Karolina Pliskova and Maria Sakkari are set to meet at the Madrid on April 24, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Pliskova enters with a 6–2 record on clay courts in 2026, while Sakkari has posted a 0–2 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Pliskova entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Pliskova leads 4–2 over Sakkari, including a win in their most recent meeting.