Karolina Pliskova vs Maria Sakkari · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 24, 2026 • 9:10 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Karolina Pliskova
Key insights
Player performance profile
Karolina Pliskova
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~408 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~408 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 40% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.8 | 92% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +7.0 | 92% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Maria Sakkari
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,267 points across 59 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,267 points across 59 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 40% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 27% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.2 | 46% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 54% | 55% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Karolina Pliskova and Maria Sakkari are set to meet at the Madrid on April 24, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Pliskova enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Sakkari has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Pliskova entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Pliskova leads 4–2 over Sakkari, including a win in their most recent meeting.