Karolina Pliskova vs Anastasia Potapova · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 29, 2026 • 11:05 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Anastasia Potapova
Key insights
Player performance profile
Karolina Pliskova
57% · 4–3 on hard
75% · 6–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,338 points across 9 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,338 points across 9 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.0 | 79% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.1 | 41% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +11.3 | 99% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 86% | 98% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Anastasia Potapova
47% · 7–8 on hard
79% · 11–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,951 points across 59 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,951 points across 59 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 55% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 62% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.5 | 42% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 42% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Karolina Pliskova and Anastasia Potapova are set to meet at the Madrid on April 29, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Pliskova enters with a 6–2 record on clay courts in 2026, while Potapova has posted a 11–3 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Pliskova entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.