BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Karolina Muchova vs Magda Linette · Match odds & ELO prediction

WTA Australian Open • Hard • Jan 23, 2026 • 5:30 AM

Hard

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Karolina Muchova

Key insights

Player performance profile

Karolina Muchova

HARDSmall sample

75% · 31 on hard

Games won (last 10)

64%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~6,823 points across 45 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
3.692% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-2.321% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+1.765% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
64%81% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Magda Linette

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

50%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~8,083 points across 55 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.350% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.111% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-1.633% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
41%29% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Karolina Muchova and Magda Linette are set to meet at the WTA Australian Open on January 23, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Muchova enters with a 3–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Linette has posted a 2–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Linette entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Muchova leads 3–1 over Linette, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent singles form slightly favors Muchova, who has won 5 of his last five matches, while Linette has gone 2–3 over the same span.
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