Karolina Muchova vs Iga Swiatek · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Indian Wells • Hard • Mar 11, 2025 • 6:55 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Iga Swiatek
Key insights
Player performance profile
Karolina Muchova
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,642 points across 59 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,642 points across 59 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.1 | 96% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 26% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.9 | 71% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 77% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Iga Swiatek
60% · 3–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
67%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,001 points across 95 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,001 points across 95 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.6 | 98% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.7 | 98% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.2 | 59% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 71% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Karolina Muchova and Iga Swiatek are set to meet at the WTA Indian Wells on March 11, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Muchova enters with a 25–14 record on hard courts in 2025, while Swiatek has posted a 41–12 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Swiatek, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Swiatek leads 5–0 over Muchova, including a win in their most recent meeting.