Karolina Muchova vs Elise Mertens · Match odds & ELO prediction
Stuttgart • Clay • Apr 16, 2026 • 10:40 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Karolina Muchova
Key insights
Player performance profile
Karolina Muchova
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,408 points across 57 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,408 points across 57 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.3 | 95% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.8 | 72% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 82% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Elise Mertens
65% · 11–6 on hard
50% · 2–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,628 points across 70 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,628 points across 70 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.4 | 96% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 59% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.2 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 42% | 28% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Karolina Muchova and Elise Mertens are set to meet at the Stuttgart on April 16, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Muchova enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Mertens has posted a 2–2 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Muchova leads 1–0 over Mertens, including a win in their most recent meeting.