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Match analytics

Karolina Muchova vs Anastasia Potapova · Match odds & ELO prediction

Linz • Hard • Jan 31, 2025 • 3:50 PM

Hard

Final score

2 - 1

Winner Karolina Muchova

Key insights

Player performance profile

Karolina Muchova

HARDSmall sample

75% · 31 on hard

Games won (last 10)

51%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~8,408 points across 57 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
4.395% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-2.323% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+2.872% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
67%82% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Anastasia Potapova

HARD

47% · 78 on hard

CLAY

79% · 113 on clay

Games won (last 10)

57%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~8,951 points across 59 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.555% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-0.162% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-0.542% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
50%42% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Karolina Muchova and Anastasia Potapova are set to meet at the Linz on January 31, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Muchova enters with a 25–14 record on hard courts in 2025, while Potapova has posted a 17–11 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Muchova entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Muchova leads 3–1 over Potapova.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Muchova and Potapova have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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