Karen Khachanov vs Casper Ruud · Match odds & ELO prediction
Toronto • Hard • Aug 2, 2025 • 6:20 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Karen Khachanov
Key insights
Player performance profile
Karen Khachanov
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,417 points across 64 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,417 points across 64 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 84% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 60% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.7 | 26% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 43% | 31% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Casper Ruud
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
60%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,691 points across 65 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,691 points across 65 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.7 | 80% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 79% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.9 | 80% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 79% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Karen Khachanov and Casper Ruud are set to meet at the Toronto on August 2, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Khachanov enters with a 15–15 record on hard courts in 2025, while Ruud has posted a 23–11 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Ruud entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Ruud leads 3–1 over Khachanov, including a win in their most recent meeting.