Karen Khachanov vs Cameron Norrie · Match odds & ELO prediction
Barcelona • Clay • Apr 15, 2025 • 3:50 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Karen Khachanov
Key insights
Player performance profile
Karen Khachanov
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,656 points across 53 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,656 points across 53 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 83% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 73% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.3 | 31% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 44% | 33% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Cameron Norrie
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,858 points across 69 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,858 points across 69 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.4 | 60% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.0 | 46% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.9 | 74% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 55% | 61% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Karen Khachanov and Cameron Norrie are set to meet at the Barcelona on April 15, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Khachanov enters with a 9–6 record on clay courts in 2025, while Norrie has posted a 14–7 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Khachanov leads 5–1 over Norrie, including a win in their most recent meeting.