Karen Khachanov vs Adam Walton · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 25, 2026 • 9:15 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Karen Khachanov
Key insights
Player performance profile
Karen Khachanov
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,417 points across 64 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,417 points across 64 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 84% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 60% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.7 | 26% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 43% | 31% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Adam Walton
55% · 17–14 on hard
33% · 1–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,408 points across 59 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,408 points across 59 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.2 | 42% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.3 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.4 | 6% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 24% | 4% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Karen Khachanov and Adam Walton are set to meet at the Madrid on April 25, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Khachanov enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Walton has posted a 1–2 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Khachanov entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Khachanov leads 1–0 over Walton, including a win in their most recent meeting.