Kamil Majchrzak vs Jacob Fearnley · Match odds & ELO prediction
ATP Australian Open • Hard • Jan 19, 2026 • 4:50 AM
Final score
3 - 1
Winner Kamil Majchrzak
Key insights
Player performance profile
Kamil Majchrzak
60% · 3–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,182 points across 45 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,182 points across 45 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.9 | 72% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 79% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.9 | 41% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 45% | 35% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jacob Fearnley
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,859 points across 47 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,859 points across 47 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 70% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.8 | 84% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 64% | 83% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Kamil Majchrzak and Jacob Fearnley are set to meet at the ATP Australian Open on January 19, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Majchrzak enters with a 3–2 record on hard courts in 2026, while Fearnley has posted a 1–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Majchrzak, but the gap is not overwhelming. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.