Kaitlin Quevedo vs Venus Williams · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 21, 2026 • 3:20 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Kaitlin Quevedo
Key insights
Player performance profile
Kaitlin Quevedo
62% · 8–5 on hard
33% · 2–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,405 points across 10 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,405 points across 10 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 47% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.5 | 90% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +8.2 | 95% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Venus Williams
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
39%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~872 points across 6 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~872 points across 6 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.1 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.5 | 33% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Kaitlin Quevedo and Venus Williams are set to meet at the Madrid on April 21, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Quevedo enters with a 2–4 record on clay courts in 2026, while Williams has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Quevedo entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Quevedo leads 1–0 over Williams, including a win in their most recent meeting.