Julieta Pareja vs Mika Buchnik · Match odds & ELO prediction
US Open • Hard • Aug 31, 2025 • 4:20 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Julieta Pareja
Key insights
Player performance profile
Julieta Pareja
45% · 5–6 on hard
73% · 11–4 on clay
83% · 5–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~912 points across 7 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~912 points across 7 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 53% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.6 | 95% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.7 | 25% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Mika Buchnik
19% · 3–13 on hard
20% · 1–4 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
39%
6 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 45% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 61% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | 0.0 | 50% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Julieta Pareja and Mika Buchnik are set to meet at the US Open on August 31, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Pareja enters with a 5–6 record on hard courts in 2025, while Buchnik has posted a 3–13 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Pareja entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Pareja leads 1–0 over Buchnik, including a win in their most recent meeting.