Julieta Pareja vs Lea Nilsson · Match odds & ELO prediction
US Open • Hard • Sep 3, 2025 • 4:40 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Lea Nilsson
Key insights
Player performance profile
Julieta Pareja
45% · 5–6 on hard
73% · 11–4 on clay
83% · 5–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~912 points across 7 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~912 points across 7 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 51% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.6 | 95% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.7 | 26% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Lea Nilsson
68% · 15–7 on hard
43% · 3–4 on clay
75% · 3–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
62%
10 matches tracked
Match Overview
Julieta Pareja and Lea Nilsson are set to meet at the US Open on September 3, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Pareja enters with a 5–6 record on hard courts in 2025, while Nilsson has posted a 15–7 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Nilsson entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Nilsson leads 1–0 over Pareja, including a win in their most recent meeting.