Julia Riera vs Polona Hercog · Match odds & ELO prediction
Florianopolis • Clay • Oct 21, 2025 • 8:10 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Julia Riera
Key insights
Player performance profile
Julia Riera
44% · 4–5 on hard
51% · 19–18 on clay
50% · 1–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
59%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,802 points across 27 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,802 points across 27 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.5 | 70% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.1 | 63% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.1 | 80% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 73% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Polona Hercog
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
61%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~84 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~84 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.7 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.9 | 28% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Julia Riera and Polona Hercog are set to meet at the Florianopolis on October 21, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Riera enters with a 19–18 record on clay courts in 2025, while Hercog has posted a 8–5 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Riera leads 2–0 over Hercog, including a win in their most recent meeting.