BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Julia Riera vs Alexandra Eala · Match odds & ELO prediction

Sao Paulo • Hard • Sep 10, 2025 • 10:00 PM

Hard

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Alexandra Eala

Key insights

Player performance profile

Julia Riera

HARDSmall sample

33% · 12 on hard

CLAY

61% · 149 on clay

Games won (last 10)

59%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~2,945 points across 29 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.771% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.369% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+4.381% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
60%71% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Alexandra Eala

HARD

64% · 148 on hard

CLAY

50% · 33 on clay

Games won (last 10)

47%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~7,060 points across 49 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-1.426% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
1.183% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+5.284% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
67%84% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Julia Riera and Alexandra Eala are set to meet at the Sao Paulo on September 10, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Riera enters with a 4–5 record on hard courts in 2025, while Eala has posted a 28–17 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Eala leads 2–1 over Riera, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent singles form slightly favors Riera, who has won 4 of his last five matches, while Eala has gone 2–3 over the same span.
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