Jozef Kovalik vs Pavel Kotov · Match odds & ELO prediction
Doha • Hard • Feb 15, 2025 • 8:10 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Pavel Kotov
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jozef Kovalik
25% · 2–6 on hard
44% · 11–14 on clay
50% · 1–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,690 points across 11 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,690 points across 11 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 15% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.3 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.0 | 32% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Pavel Kotov
39% · 9–14 on hard
22% · 2–7 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,619 points across 16 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,619 points across 16 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 15% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 26% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.9 | 32% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 13% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jozef Kovalik and Pavel Kotov are set to meet at the Doha on February 15, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Kovalik enters with a 2–6 record on hard courts in 2025, while Kotov has posted a 9–14 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Kovalik entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.