Josef Schwaerzler Joel vs Toby Samuel · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 10, 2026 • 10:25 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Toby Samuel
Key insights
Player performance profile
Josef Schwaerzler Joel
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~460 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~460 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 25% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 50% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.4 | 76% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Toby Samuel
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 38% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 84% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | 0.0 | 48% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Josef Schwaerzler Joel and Toby Samuel are set to meet at the Madrid on April 10, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Joel enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Samuel has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Joel entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Samuel leads 1–0 over Joel, including a win in their most recent meeting.