Josef Schwaerzler Joel vs Stefano Napolitano · Match odds & ELO prediction
Kigali • Clay • Mar 8, 2026 • 9:40 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Josef Schwaerzler Joel
Key insights
Player performance profile
Josef Schwaerzler Joel
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~460 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~460 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 50% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.4 | 76% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Stefano Napolitano
47% · 7–8 on hard
55% · 12–10 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~961 points across 6 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~961 points across 6 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.3 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.5 | 36% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.5 | 54% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Josef Schwaerzler Joel and Stefano Napolitano are set to meet at the Kigali on March 8, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Joel enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Napolitano has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Joel, but the gap is not overwhelming. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.