Josef Schwaerzler Joel vs Roman Safiullin · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 9, 2026 • 3:05 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Josef Schwaerzler Joel
Key insights
Player performance profile
Josef Schwaerzler Joel
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~460 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~460 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 25% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 50% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.4 | 76% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Roman Safiullin
43% · 9–12 on hard
43% · 3–4 on clay
20% · 1–4 on grass
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,658 points across 26 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,658 points across 26 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.4 | 60% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 27% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.4 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 41% | 24% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Josef Schwaerzler Joel and Roman Safiullin are set to meet at the Madrid on April 9, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Joel enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Safiullin has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.