Josef Schwaerzler Joel vs Marco Cecchinato · Match odds & ELO prediction
Kigali • Clay • Mar 6, 2026 • 11:40 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Josef Schwaerzler Joel
Key insights
Player performance profile
Josef Schwaerzler Joel
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~151 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~151 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 60% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.6 | 56% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Marco Cecchinato
53% · 39–34 on clay
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 36% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 84% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | 0.0 | 48% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Josef Schwaerzler Joel and Marco Cecchinato are set to meet at the Kigali on March 6, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Joel enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Cecchinato has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Joel, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Joel leads 2–0 over Cecchinato, including a win in their most recent meeting.