Match analytics

Jordan Thompson vs Stefanos Tsitsipas · Match odds & ELO prediction

Monte Carlo • Clay • Apr 8, 2025 • 3:30 PM

Clay

Final score

1 - 2

Winner Stefanos Tsitsipas

Key insights

Player performance profile

Jordan Thompson

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

55%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~4,563 points across 25 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.769% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-4.110% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+3.578% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Elite
71%93% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Stefanos Tsitsipas

HARDSmall sample

100% · 30 on hard

Games won (last 10)

52%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~6,458 points across 40 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
3.892% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.240% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-1.834% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
56%64% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Jordan Thompson and Stefanos Tsitsipas are set to meet at the Monte Carlo on April 8, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Thompson enters with a 2–3 record on clay courts in 2025, while Tsitsipas has posted a 7–5 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Tsitsipas entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Tsitsipas leads 3–1 over Thompson, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Thompson and Tsitsipas have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.