Jordan Thompson vs Nuno Borges · Match odds & ELO prediction
Australian Open • Hard • Jan 21, 2026 • 4:25 AM
Final score
1 - 3
Winner Nuno Borges
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jordan Thompson
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,709 points across 26 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,709 points across 26 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.7 | 68% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.3 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.7 | 80% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 71% | 92% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Nuno Borges
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,310 points across 66 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,310 points across 66 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 53% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.5 | 38% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.8 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 42% | 29% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jordan Thompson and Nuno Borges are set to meet at the Australian Open on January 21, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Thompson enters with a 2–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Borges has posted a 2–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Borges entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Borges leads 3–0 over Thompson, including a win in their most recent meeting.