Jordan Thompson vs Nicolas Moreno De Alboran · Match odds & ELO prediction
Noumea • Hard • Jan 7, 2026 • 5:10 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Jordan Thompson
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jordan Thompson
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,709 points across 26 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,709 points across 26 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.7 | 66% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.3 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.7 | 79% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 71% | 93% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~632 points across 5 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~632 points across 5 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 54% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 88% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.5 | 35% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jordan Thompson and Nicolas Moreno De Alboran are set to meet at the Noumea on January 7, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Thompson enters with a 2–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Alboran has posted a 3–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Alboran entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Thompson leads 2–0 over Alboran, including a win in their most recent meeting.