Joao Fonseca vs Eliot Spizzirri · Match odds & ELO prediction
ATP Australian Open • Hard • Jan 20, 2026 • 3:20 AM
Final score
1 - 3
Winner Eliot Spizzirri
Key insights
Player performance profile
Joao Fonseca
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,806 points across 47 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,806 points across 47 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.8 | 92% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 64% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.4 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 58% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Eliot Spizzirri
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,586 points across 30 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,586 points across 30 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 52% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 73% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.0 | 74% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 88% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Joao Fonseca and Eliot Spizzirri are set to meet at the ATP Australian Open on January 20, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Fonseca enters with a 0–0 record on hard courts in 2026, while Spizzirri has posted a 2–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Fonseca, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Spizzirri leads 2–0 over Fonseca, including a win in their most recent meeting.