Joao Fonseca vs Ben Shelton · Match odds & ELO prediction
Munich • Clay • Apr 17, 2026 • 1:40 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Ben Shelton
Key insights
Player performance profile
Joao Fonseca
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,853 points across 61 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,853 points across 61 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.7 | 90% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 57% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.5 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 54% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Ben Shelton
64% · 27–15 on hard
58% · 7–5 on clay
60% · 6–4 on grass
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,150 points across 74 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,150 points across 74 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.4 | 97% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.3 | 6% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +7.6 | 95% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 70% | 92% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Joao Fonseca and Ben Shelton are set to meet at the Munich on April 17, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Fonseca enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Shelton has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Fonseca entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Shelton leads 1–0 over Fonseca, including a win in their most recent meeting.