Joao Fonseca vs Arthur Rinderknech · Match odds & ELO prediction
Monte Carlo • Clay • Apr 8, 2026 • 10:45 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Joao Fonseca
Key insights
Player performance profile
Joao Fonseca
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,853 points across 61 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,853 points across 61 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.7 | 90% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 57% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.5 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 54% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Arthur Rinderknech
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,623 points across 72 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,623 points across 72 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.8 | 83% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -6.0 | 3% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.8 | 56% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 42% | 26% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Joao Fonseca and Arthur Rinderknech are set to meet at the Monte Carlo on April 8, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Fonseca enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Rinderknech has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Fonseca leads 2–0 over Rinderknech, including a win in their most recent meeting.