Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverev · Match odds & ELO prediction
Monte Carlo • Clay • Apr 10, 2026 • 9:15 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Alexander Zverev
Key insights
Player performance profile
Joao Fonseca
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,853 points across 61 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,853 points across 61 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.7 | 90% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 57% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.5 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 54% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alexander Zverev
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~15,512 points across 98 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~15,512 points across 98 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.7 | 95% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.1 | 66% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.3 | 61% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 66% | 84% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Joao Fonseca and Alexander Zverev are set to meet at the Monte Carlo on April 10, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Fonseca enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Zverev has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Zverev entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Zverev leads 1–0 over Fonseca, including a win in their most recent meeting.