BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Jiri Lehecka vs Lorenzo Musetti · Match odds & ELO prediction

Madrid • Clay • Apr 28, 2026 • 11:00 AM

Clay

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Jiri Lehecka

Key insights

Player performance profile

Jiri Lehecka

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

46%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~11,330 points across 73 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
3.892% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.440% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-0.146% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
54%60% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Lorenzo Musetti

HARDSmall sample

75% · 31 on hard

Games won (last 10)

50%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~11,672 points across 74 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.882% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
0.184% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-0.047% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
63%81% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Jiri Lehecka and Lorenzo Musetti are set to meet at the Madrid on April 28, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Lehecka enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Musetti has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Musetti entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Lehecka leads 3–1 over Musetti, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Lehecka and Musetti have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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