Jessika Ponchet vs Polina Kudermetova · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid (Spain) • Clay • Apr 8, 2026 • 9:40 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Polina Kudermetova
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jessika Ponchet
53% · 8–7 on hard
57% · 4–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,091 points across 22 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,091 points across 22 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 46% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 27% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +8.6 | 96% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 80% | 95% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Polina Kudermetova
67% · 6–3 on hard
73% · 16–6 on clay
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,212 points across 45 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,212 points across 45 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 33% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.4 | 82% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 62% | 77% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jessika Ponchet and Polina Kudermetova are set to meet at the Madrid (Spain) on April 8, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Ponchet enters with a 4–3 record on clay courts in 2026, while Kudermetova has posted a 16–6 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Ponchet entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Kudermetova leads 1–0 over Ponchet, including a win in their most recent meeting.