Jessika Ponchet vs Lily Miyazaki Yuriko · Match odds & ELO prediction
W100 Wrexham • Hard • Oct 23, 2025 • 11:40 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Lily Miyazaki Yuriko
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jessika Ponchet
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
40%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,967 points across 21 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,967 points across 21 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 39% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 29% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +8.8 | 95% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Lily Miyazaki Yuriko
61% · 39–25 on hard
0% · 0–1 on clay
43% · 3–4 on grass
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~608 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~608 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 51% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 56% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.6 | 64% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jessika Ponchet and Lily Miyazaki Yuriko are set to meet at the W100 Wrexham on October 23, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Ponchet enters with a 24–23 record on hard courts in 2025, while Yuriko has posted a 39–25 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Yuriko, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Yuriko leads 3–2 over Ponchet, including a win in their most recent meeting.