BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Jessika Ponchet vs Fiona Ferro · Match odds & ELO prediction

Saint Malo • Clay • Apr 28, 2026 • 2:45 PM

Clay

Key insights

Player performance profile

Jessika Ponchet

HARD

53% · 87 on hard

CLAY

57% · 43 on clay

Games won (last 10)

50%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~3,091 points across 22 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.146% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-1.927% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Elite
+8.696% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Elite
80%95% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Fiona Ferro

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

56%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~2,130 points across 13 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
0.149% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
2.595% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+3.676% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
50%51% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Jessika Ponchet and Fiona Ferro are set to meet at the Saint Malo on April 28, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Ponchet enters with a 4–3 record on clay courts in 2026, while Ferro has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Ponchet leads 2–1 over Ferro, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Ponchet and Ferro have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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