Jessica Pegula vs Belinda Bencic · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Indian Wells • Hard • Mar 11, 2026 • 6:00 PM
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jessica Pegula
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
59%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,919 points across 81 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,919 points across 81 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.9 | 94% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 69% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.3 | 52% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 62% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Belinda Bencic
100% · 5–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
61%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,052 points across 56 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,052 points across 56 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 87% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 67% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +9.3 | 96% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 86% | 96% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jessica Pegula and Belinda Bencic are set to meet at the WTA Indian Wells on March 11, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Pegula enters with a 3–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Bencic has posted a 5–0 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Pegula, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Bencic leads 3–0 over Pegula, including a win in their most recent meeting.