Jessica Pegula vs Barbora Krejcikova · Match odds & ELO prediction
US Open • Hard • Sep 2, 2025 • 3:40 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Jessica Pegula
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jessica Pegula
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
60%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,982 points across 88 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,982 points across 88 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.3 | 96% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 73% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.3 | 60% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 73% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Barbora Krejcikova
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,778 points across 26 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,778 points across 26 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.9 | 76% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 46% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.8 | 84% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 80% | 96% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jessica Pegula and Barbora Krejcikova are set to meet at the US Open on September 2, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Pegula enters with a 37–14 record on hard courts in 2025, while Krejcikova has posted a 11–6 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Pegula entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.