Jessica Pegula vs Anna Blinkova · Match odds & ELO prediction
US Open • Hard • Aug 27, 2025 • 6:40 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Jessica Pegula
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jessica Pegula
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,097 points across 75 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,097 points across 75 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.8 | 93% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 70% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.2 | 59% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 59% | 71% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Anna Blinkova
0% · 0–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,670 points across 57 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,670 points across 57 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.1 | 82% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.1 | 73% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 54% | 57% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jessica Pegula and Anna Blinkova are set to meet at the US Open on August 27, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Pegula enters with a 37–14 record on hard courts in 2025, while Blinkova has posted a 18–17 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Blinkova entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Pegula leads 5–1 over Blinkova, including a win in their most recent meeting.