Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Varvara Gracheva · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rouen • Clay • Apr 17, 2025 • 6:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,050 points across 54 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,050 points across 54 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 73% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.7 | 32% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 48% | 40% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Varvara Gracheva
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,422 points across 60 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,422 points across 60 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 35% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 60% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.5 | 71% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 83% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro and Varvara Gracheva are set to meet at the Rouen on April 17, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Maneiro enters with a 10–6 record on clay courts in 2025, while Gracheva has posted a 9–8 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Maneiro, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Maneiro leads 3–0 over Gracheva, including a win in their most recent meeting.