BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Magdalena Frech · Match odds & ELO prediction

Madrid • Clay • Apr 24, 2025 • 9:10 AM

Clay

Final score

1 - 2

Winner Magdalena Frech

Key insights

Player performance profile

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

43%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~8,050 points across 54 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-1.523% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.773% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-1.732% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
48%40% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Magdalena Frech

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

52%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~6,982 points across 46 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-1.326% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-2.322% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-2.923% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
45%38% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro and Magdalena Frech are set to meet at the Madrid on April 24, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Maneiro enters with a 10–6 record on clay courts in 2025, while Frech has posted a 4–5 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Frech leads 3–0 over Maneiro, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Maneiro and Frech alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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