Jesper De Jong vs Matteo Arnaldi · Match odds & ELO prediction
Vienna • Hard • Oct 18, 2025 • 12:25 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Matteo Arnaldi
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jesper De Jong
0% · 0–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
41%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,496 points across 52 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,496 points across 52 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 51% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 51% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.8 | 28% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 53% | 59% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Matteo Arnaldi
100% · 1–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,415 points across 50 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,415 points across 50 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 26% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.6 | 34% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.4 | 79% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 65% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jesper De Jong and Matteo Arnaldi are set to meet at the Vienna on October 18, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Jong enters with a 12–12 record on hard courts in 2025, while Arnaldi has posted a 16–18 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Jong entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Arnaldi leads 3–1 over Jong, including a win in their most recent meeting.