Jesper De Jong vs Andrey Rublev · Match odds & ELO prediction
Doha • Hard • Feb 17, 2026 • 6:50 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Andrey Rublev
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jesper De Jong
0% · 0–6 on hard
56% · 9–7 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,201 points across 57 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,201 points across 57 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 51% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 43% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.7 | 25% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 53% | 57% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Andrey Rublev
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,935 points across 74 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,935 points across 74 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 85% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 57% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.3 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 38% | 21% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jesper De Jong and Andrey Rublev are set to meet at the Doha on February 17, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Jong enters with a 0–6 record on hard courts in 2026, while Rublev has posted a 2–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Jong entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Rublev leads 2–0 over Jong, including a win in their most recent meeting.