BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Jesper De Jong vs Andrey Rublev · Match odds & ELO prediction

Barcelona • Clay • Apr 14, 2025 • 5:15 PM

Clay

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Andrey Rublev

Key insights

Player performance profile

Jesper De Jong

HARD

0% · 06 on hard

CLAY

56% · 97 on clay

Games won (last 10)

50%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~9,201 points across 57 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.751% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.143% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-2.725% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
53%57% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Andrey Rublev

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

53%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~11,935 points across 74 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.985% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.557% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-5.310% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
38%21% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Jesper De Jong and Andrey Rublev are set to meet at the Barcelona on April 14, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Jong enters with a 20–13 record on clay courts in 2025, while Rublev has posted a 8–6 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Rublev leads 2–0 over Jong, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Jong and Rublev have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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