Jelena Ostapenko vs Mirra Andreeva · Match odds & ELO prediction
Stuttgart • Clay • Apr 15, 2026 • 3:05 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Mirra Andreeva
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jelena Ostapenko
53% · 9–8 on hard
50% · 3–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,361 points across 51 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,361 points across 51 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 36% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 81% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.5 | 44% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 47% | 39% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Mirra Andreeva
70% · 14–6 on hard
86% · 12–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
58%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,484 points across 80 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,484 points across 80 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.4 | 91% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 82% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.9 | 57% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 44% | 32% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jelena Ostapenko and Mirra Andreeva are set to meet at the Stuttgart on April 15, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Ostapenko enters with a 3–3 record on clay courts in 2026, while Andreeva has posted a 12–2 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Andreeva entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Andreeva leads 1–0 over Ostapenko, including a win in their most recent meeting.