Jelena Ostapenko vs Gabriela Ruse Elena · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 7, 2026 • 3:00 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Jelena Ostapenko
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jelena Ostapenko
53% · 9–8 on hard
50% · 3–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,361 points across 51 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,361 points across 51 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 36% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 81% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.5 | 44% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 47% | 39% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Gabriela Ruse Elena
53% · 9–8 on hard
63% · 5–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,737 points across 54 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,737 points across 54 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 58% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 75% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.4 | 28% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 43% | 30% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jelena Ostapenko and Gabriela Ruse Elena are set to meet at the Rome on May 7, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Ostapenko enters with a 3–3 record on clay courts in 2026, while Elena has posted a 5–3 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Ostapenko entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.