Jelena Ostapenko vs Anna Kalinskaya · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Dubai • Hard • Feb 16, 2026 • 1:20 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Anna Kalinskaya
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jelena Ostapenko
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,495 points across 45 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,495 points across 45 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.1 | 29% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 74% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.4 | 25% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 44% | 32% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Anna Kalinskaya
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,734 points across 55 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,734 points across 55 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.1 | 81% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 30% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.8 | 30% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 42% | 30% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jelena Ostapenko and Anna Kalinskaya are set to meet at the WTA Dubai on February 16, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Ostapenko enters with a 0–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Kalinskaya has posted a 1–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Kalinskaya entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Kalinskaya leads 4–0 over Ostapenko, including a win in their most recent meeting.